Who will Trump pick as his Vice President?

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Balancing the Ticket: Trump’s Potential Vice President Picks

Donald Trump’s potential choice for vice president has gained significant attention, with North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum emerging as a clear frontrunner in the election odds. Doug Burgum, a wealthy former Microsoft executive, is now the governor of North Dakota, an upper Midwest, rural, conservative state.

Doug Burgum’s politics align with traditional conservative Republican values. If Donald Trump chooses Doug Burgum, it would be an attempt to balance the ticket, as Trump’s politics lean more towards the untraditional, populist side. Burgum’s traditional Republican stance could complement Trump’s approach.

Interestingly, the next likely pick after Doug Burgum, according to election odds, is Ohio Senator J.D. Vance, who, like Donald Trump, is more of a populist Republican. Vance’s politics would align closely with Trump’s, but a vice-presidential choice often aims to balance the ticket.

There is some irony in this situation, as several observers, including the political website Politico and analyst Matt Stoller, have noted that Donald Trump’s rhetoric in the current election is less populist and more traditional compared to his 2016 campaign against Hillary Clinton. Therefore, Trump himself has adopted a more traditional Republican stance, making it likely that he will choose a traditional Republican running mate according to the election odds. This choice would likely reassure businessmen across the country, particularly in Silicon Valley and Wall Street, who might feel more comfortable with Trump in office due to the beneficial effects of traditional Republican policies on the stock market. Consequently, the stock market may start reacting more positively to news of Trump leading in the polls, displaying a Trump bias that has not been evident thus far.

An Uneventful Exchange: Minimal Impact Expected on Voter Opinion

Looking ahead, there is a debate scheduled for Friday morning in Singapore and Hong Kong time, which is Thursday night in the U.S. The debate is expected to be uneventful, with little likelihood of any significant surprises. The format resembles a joint news conference, allowing each candidate, particularly Joe Biden, to hear questions, repeat campaign talking points, and move on without direct answers.

The debate is not anticipated to significantly sway public opinion. Polls indicate that about 10% of the electorate is undecided, with an even split between those leaning towards Joe Biden and Donald Trump. Research shows that undecided voters do not heavily rely on debates to make their decisions. Consequently, the upcoming debate is unlikely to influence the polls or offer any noteworthy developments. Thus, there is little need to watch the debate as it is not expected to be interesting or impactful.


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